Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.553438 0.724384 0.919057 1.154140 1.427339 1.731984 2.094499
2025-04-27 0.327193 0.535898 0.807438 1.172582 1.637054 2.195314 2.903954
2025-05-04 0.177464 0.379174 0.682914 1.136826 1.763019 2.564364 3.634792
2025-05-11 0.089821 0.265459 0.576565 1.092649 1.859175 2.894147 4.335358
2025-05-18 0.047207 0.200343 0.519351 1.100114 2.016958 3.308037 5.163177
2025-05-25 0.020179 0.141374 0.448305 1.065599 2.101290 3.619340 5.864691
2025-06-01 0.010569 0.118518 0.438088 1.128429 2.335313 4.150990 6.886320
2025-06-08 0.003795 0.089720 0.401133 1.132706 2.471559 4.543162 7.725137
2025-06-15 0.001731 0.080029 0.407443 1.219551 2.748466 5.154533 8.892922
2025-06-22 0.000488 0.067147 0.398499 1.272228 2.968463 5.686285 9.960220
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.053262 0.378471 1.296346 3.137670 6.143875 10.930299
2025-07-06 NaN 0.037161 0.338531 1.266767 3.205185 6.441702 11.670580
2025-07-13 NaN 0.027707 0.317620 1.279714 3.355613 6.883983 12.649850
2025-07-20 NaN 0.020342 0.298664 1.293370 3.507549 7.334016 13.653149
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012205 0.262171 1.251999 3.547712 7.600885 14.384443
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006513 0.226840 1.203206 3.566367 7.829816 15.060811
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004059 0.211862 1.210350 3.698851 8.254020 16.048117
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001800 0.185373 1.173072 3.733036 8.508895 16.774284
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001419 0.189583 1.239902 3.995977 9.168077 18.150641
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000674 0.176921 1.244343 4.121258 9.588681 19.155212
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000627 0.187746 1.336819 4.447653 10.371963 20.750640
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000417 0.188832 1.392851 4.694118 11.018323 22.135988
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000188 0.182341 1.418487 4.872452 11.546933 23.340010